Anatomy of a sudden onset flood: The 18 March 2007 Crater Lake break-out lahar, Mt. Ruapehu, New Zealand
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Crater Lake lies in a basin, or caldera, formed by collapse of the Cascade volcano known as Mount Mazama during a violent, climactic eruption about 7,700 years ago. This event dramatically changed the character of the volcano so that many potential types of future events have no precedent there. This potentially active volcanic center is contained within Crater Lake National Park, visited by 500,000 people per year, and is adjacent to the main transportation corridor east of the Cascade Range. Because a lake is now present within the most likely site of future volcanic activity, many of the hazards at Crater Lake are different from those at most other Cascade volcanoes. Also significant are many faults near Crater Lake that clearly have been active in the recent past. These faults, and historic seismicity, indicate that damaging earthquakes can occur there in the future. This report describes the various types of volcano and earthquake hazards in the Crater Lake area, estimates of the likelihood of future events, recommendations for mitigation, and a map of hazard zones. The main conclusions are summarized below.
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White Island volcano erupted fresh andesite during March 1977, in the first emission of new lava bombs and blocks recorded in historic time. Preliminary analytical data indicate that the new lava differs petrographically and chemically from all other analysed White Island lavas. The eruption commenced with ejection of accessory ash derived from crater floor debris, overlying a shallow magma intrusion which has been causing inflation of the crater floor since 1973.
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Crater lake
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Ruapehu (150 km3 cone, 150 km3 ring-plain) and Tongariro (90 km3 cone, 60 km3 ring-plain) are iconic stratovolcanoes, formed since ∼230 and ∼350 ka, respectively, in the southern Taupo Volcanic Zone and Taupo Rift. These volcanoes rest on Mesozoic metasedimentary basement with local intervening Miocene sediments. Both volcanoes have complex growth histories, closely linked to the presence or absence of glacial ice that controlled the distribution and preservation of lavas. Ruapehu cone-building vents are focused into a short NNE-separated pair, whereas Tongariro vents are more widely distributed along that trend, the differences reflecting local rifting rates and faulting intensities. Both volcanoes have erupted basaltic andesite to dacite (53–66 wt.% silica), but mostly plagioclase-two pyroxene andesites from storage zones at 5–10 km depth. Erupted compositions contain evidence for magma mixing and interaction with basement rocks. Each volcano has an independent magmatic system and a growth history related to long-term (>104 years) cycles of mantle-derived magma supply, unrelated to glacial/interglacial cycles. Historic eruptions at both volcanoes are compositionally diverse, reflecting small, dispersed magma sources. Both volcanoes often show signs of volcanic unrest and have erupted with a wide range of styles and associated hazards, most recently in 2007 (Ruapehu) and 2012 (Tongariro).
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Summary Evidence is presented from moraines and historical records of the wasting and retreat of the glaciers of Mt. Ruapehu before 1955. The changes arc compared with those on the Hooker and Mueller glaciers in the Southern Alps. The summers of 1955 and 1956 were unusually warm at Mt. Ruapehu, and there was accelerated wasting and retreat of the glaciers, especially Whakapapa Glacier. Volcanic ash deposited on this glacier a few years earlier was exposed and spectacular dirt-cones developed beneath it.
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