Low-angle normal faults (i.e. with a dip < 30°) were assumed to have a very low seismic potential (Sibson et al., 1985). However, several observations have shown that earthquakes and aseismic slip can occur along such faults. For instance, the Alto Tiberina Fault (ATF), a 60-km long normal fault with a 15° low angle dip located in the active sector of the Northern Apennines (Italy), is seismically active as well as is actively accommodating part of the Apennines extensional strain. However, the relative contribution of seismic and aseismic slip on it is still unclear. The central and northern Apennines experienced several seismic sequences in the recent decades and a Mw ∼ 4.6 aseismic event accompanied by a seismic swarm of similar or smaller size was also recorded in 2013-2014 along two synthetic and antithetic fault in the hanging-wall of the ATF (Gualandi et al., 2017). The interactions between such minor conjugate faults and the ATF compose a system undergoing complex behavior making the area an ideal candidate to improve our understanding of interactions between different slipping modes. We benefit from data of the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory (TABOO-NFO; Chiaraluce et al., 2014) looking for aseismic events on the ATF and its surrounding faults. The dense network of GNSS, seismometers and borehole strainmeters provides a rarely attained high spatial (inter-distance < 10km) and temporal (from 2009 to nowadays) resolution framework enabling the study of the ATF fault system slip history. We search for transients with a semi-automatic detection tool of slow slip events based on kinematic inversions of strainmeters time series. We also test if these events interact with larger seismic events of the region. We present the strain time series processed with the EarthScope Strain Tools (EarthScope Consortium) and the preliminary signals detected with our tool. The fine analysis of the ATF would help better constraining the behavior of faults and more generally large events. 
The densely inhabited area of Naples (Italy), between the Campi Flegrei and Vesuvio volcanoes, is one of the most hazardous regions in the world. After two decades of sustained subsidence, Campi Flegrei has been experiencing an accelerating uplift since 2005. The uplift is currently associated with unusual seismicity and increased degassing. To try to identify the cause of the shift from subsidence to uplift and explore any connection between Campi Flegrei and Vesuvio, we analysed the ground displacement time series of the two volcanoes from 1993 to 2010, obtained from ERS/ENVISAT Synthetic Aperture Radar imagery. To distinguish between the various sources of deformation, we used simple scatter plots and a blind source separation technique called variational Bayesian independent component analysis (vbICA). We obtained consistent results using both approaches. Specifically, with vbICA, we identified two significant independent components (ICs). IC1 describes the subsidence that occurred at Campi Flegrei prior to 2000, including the mini-uplifts of 2000 and 2005, and part of the post-2005 uplift. The expansion and contraction of two volumes beneath Campi Flegrei satisfy IC1: a sill-shaped volume at a depth of approximately 3 km and a small volume at a depth of 1–2 km, respectively. The two sources of deformation reproduce the large-scale deformation in the Campi Flegrei area and the local deformation in the Solfatara area, respectively. In the Campi Flegrei area, IC2 exhibits primarily uplift, which is concentrated in the eastern part of the caldera. The deformation pattern is complex and difficult to interpret. If we model it using simple spheroidal deformation sources, the pattern suggests that two volumes at depths of approximately 9 and 8 km are experiencing opposite activity, namely contraction (beneath the southwestern part of the caldera) and expansion (beneath the central part of the caldera). In the Vesuvio area, IC2 is consistent with the deformation induced by the contraction of a volume at a depth of around 9 km. The contraction beneath Vesuvio is smaller in magnitude than the expansion/contraction beneath Campi Flegrei. The correlation observed after 2002 between uplift at Campi Flegrei and subsidence at Vesuvio suggests the transfer of magma and/or magmatic fluids between the two plumbing systems at 8–9 km depth. This implies that part of the ongoing unrest at Campi Flegrei may have been promoted by mass transfer from below Vesuvio.
Abstract Changes in water level are commonly reported in regions struck by a seismic event. The sign and amplitude of such changes depend on the relative position of measuring points with respect to the hypocenter, and on the poroelastic properties of the rock. We apply a porous media flow model (TOUGH2) to describe groundwater flow and water‐level changes associated with the first M L 5.9 mainshock of the 2012 seismic sequence in Emilia (Italy). We represent the earthquake as an instantaneous pressure step, whose amplitude was inferred from the properties of the seismic source inverted from geodetic data. The results are consistent with the evolution recorded in both deep and shallow water wells in the area and suggest that our description of the seismic event is suitable to capture both timing and magnitude of water‐level changes. We draw some conclusions about the influence of material heterogeneity on the pore pressure evolution, and we show that to reproduce the observed maximum amplitude it is necessary to take into account compaction in the shallow layer.
<p>The San Andreas Fault creeping section is generally considered as slipping continuously and aseismically, at a rate of about 35 mm/yr. However, recent studies, using either Global Positioning System (GPS) network or Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data, have highlighted spatial and temporal variations of slip rate. Here, we combine GPS, InSAR, creepmeter and seismicity data over the 2008-2018 period, taking advantage of their complementary spatial and temporal resolutions, to detail a comprehensive picture of episodic acceleration and deceleration slip patterns. For this purpose, we use a variational Bayesian Independent Component Analysis (vbICA) decomposition to separate geodetic deformation due to non-tectonic sources from signals of tectonic origin. The&#160;fault slip&#160;kinematics is reconstructed by linear inversion of each Independent Component related to transient tectonic activity. We document aseismic slip acceleration transients and discuss their origin.</p>
In this work, we present a study of the coseismic and post-seismic crustal deformation associated to the Mw 6.3, 2009 April 6 L'Aquila earthquake from the analysis of GPS displacement time-series. We use a principal component decomposition-based inversion method to study the space- and time-dependent evolution of slip on faults without any a priori assumption on the model used to characterize the temporal evolution of crustal deformation. The method adopted allows us to account for the initial post-seismic deformation in estimating the coseismic displacements, in a consistent manner for the whole GPS network. We use elastic dislocation theory and a least-squares procedure to invert for the slip distribution on the mainshock fault (Paganica fault) and a second fault (Campotosto fault), where a Mw 5.2 aftershock occurred on April 9. The geometries for these faults are obtained from a singular value decomposition of precisely relocated aftershocks. We find that the use of complex fault geometries is not justified by the GPS observations available. An inversion that accounts for post-seismic slip to occur on both the Paganica and Campotosto faults provides a better fit to the GPS time-series observations, than using only the Paganica fault segment, at a 95 per cent confidence level. Within our resolution, afterslip regions do not migrate over time and are localized on fault patches that are approximately complementary to those of coseismic slip. We find that the position of some relevant afterslip patches is different if the inversion is performed assuming a fixed rake or not. We estimate the parameter a – b of rate- and state-dependent friction on those fault regions accommodating afterslip that are robustly characterized in our inversions. We find values of the order of 10−3, which is near the transition from potentially unstable to nominally stable friction. These results are in agreement with laboratory measurements performed on typical rocks of the L'Aquila region.
<p>Earthquakes are a complex natural phenomenon. They typically are the result of frictional instabilities along preexisting weakness zones called faults. The strain slowly builds up in the fragile Earth crust because of the presence of an external loading counterbalanced by friction forces at the faults&#8217; interface. When the load cannot be balanced by the friction any further, the fault slips releasing the accumulated strain. Friction is a nonlinear phenomenon, and as such frictionally controlled systems may be subject to chaotic behavior. Seismic cycle analogs can be reproduced with rock friction experiments in the laboratory with a double direct shear apparatus. We show that laboratory earthquakes follow a low-dimensional random attractor. We explain the observations with a model of stochastic differential equations based on the rate- and state-friction framework. We show that small perturbations (less than 1&#8240;) on the shear and normal stress can induce laboratory earthquakes aperiodic behavior with coefficient of variations of the order of some percent. The nonlinear nature of friction amplifies small scale perturbations, making mid-long term predictions of the system possible only statistically even for stick-slip events in a well controlled environment like the laboratory.</p>
