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David Leclère

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

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Peter Havlík

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Piero Visconti

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Michael Obersteiner

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Hugo Valin

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Bernardo B. N. Strassburg

Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro

Alexander Popp

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Detlef P. van Vuuren

Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

Simon Ferrier

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation

Rob Alkemade

Wageningen University & Research

Stuart H. M. Butchart

University of Cambridge

Cooperative Institutions

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Wageningen University & Research

John Wiley & Sons (United States)

Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

Birds Canada

Hudson Institute

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation

University of Queensland

World Conservation Monitoring Centre

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Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

David Leclère Michael Obersteiner Mike Barrett Stuart H. M. Butchart Abhishek Chaudhary

Terrestrial ecosystem

10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

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Citations (680)

Challenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate change

Environmental Research (2016)

Şeyda Özkan Andrea Vitali Nicola Lacetera Barbara Amon A. Bannink

10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.033

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Citations (40)

Increasing nitrogen export to sea: A scenario analysis for the Indus River

The Science of The Total Environment (2019)

Mengru Wang Ting Tang Peter Burek Peter Havlík Tamás Krisztin

Indus

10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133629

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Citations (22)

Achieving global biodiversity goals by 2050 requires urgent and integrated actions

One Earth (2022)

Paul Leadley Andrew Gonzalez David Obura Cornelia B. Krug María Cecilia Londoño

10.1016/j.oneear.2022.05.009

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Citations (103)

Advanced biomaterials scenarios for the EU28 up to 2050 and their respective biomass demand

Biomass and Bioenergy (2016)

Fabian Schipfer Lukas Kranzl David Leclère Sylvain Leduc Nicklas Forsell

Energy carrier

10.1016/j.biombioe.2016.11.002

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Citations (52)

Author Correction: Global priority areas for ecosystem restoration

Bernardo B. N. Strassburg Álvaro Iribarrem Hawthorne L. Beyer Carlos Leandro Cordeiro Renato Crouzeilles

10.1038/s41586-022-05178-y

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Citations (7)

A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

Geoscientific model development (2018)

Hyejin Kim Isabel M.D. Rosa Rob Alkemade Paul Leadley G. C. Hurtt

Abstract. To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals of BES-SIM are (1) to project the global impacts of land-use and climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem services (i.e., nature's contributions to people) over the coming decades, compared to the 20th century, using a set of common metrics at multiple scales, and (2) to identify model uncertainties and research gaps through the comparisons of projected biodiversity and ecosystem services across models. BES-SIM uses three scenarios combining specific Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) – SSP1xRCP2.6, SSP3xRCP6.0, SSP5xRCP8.6 – to explore a wide range of land-use change and climate change futures. This paper describes the rationale for scenario selection, the process of harmonizing input data for land use, based on the second phase of the Land Use Harmonization Project (LUH2), and climate, the biodiversity and ecosystem services models used, the core simulations carried out, the harmonization of the model output metrics, and the treatment of uncertainty. The results of this collaborative modeling project will support the ongoing global assessment of IPBES, strengthen ties between IPBES and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and modeling processes, advise the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on its development of a post-2020 strategic plans and conservation goals, and inform the development of a new generation of nature-centred scenarios.

Harmonization

Scenario analysis

10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018

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Citations (83)

The impact of climate change on Brazil's agriculture

The Science of The Total Environment (2020)

Marcia T. Zilli Marluce Scarabello Aline C. Soterroni Hugo Valin Aline Mosnier

Biome

Baseline (sea)

10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139384

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Citations (111)

Global priority areas for ecosystem restoration

Bernardo B. N. Strassburg Álvaro Iribarrem Hawthorne L. Beyer Carlos Leandro Cordeiro Renato Crouzeilles

Biome

Restoration Ecology

10.1038/s41586-020-2784-9

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Citations (783)

Reducing global land-use pressures with seaweed farming

Nature Sustainability (2023)

Scott Spillias Hugo Valin Miroslav Batka Frank Sperling Peter Havlík

Agricultural land

Hectare

10.1038/s41893-022-01043-y

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Citations (48)