Van Tra Tran

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Nguyễn Xuân Hiền

Dr. D. Y. Patil Medical College, Hospital and Research Centre

Van Khiem

Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics

Thuc Tran

Brigham and Women's Hospital

Ngoc Tien Duong

Doan Thi Thu Ha

Sejong University

Thi Lan Huong Huynh

Van Tien Pham

Sheffield Hallam University

Van Uu Dinh

Cooperative Institutions

Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics

Brigham and Women's Hospital

Harvard University

Dr. D. Y. Patil Medical College, Hospital and Research Centre

Hanoi Medical University Hospital

Moscow Automobile and Road Construction State Technical University

Khanh Hoa General Hospital

Bạch Mai Hospital

Ministry of Science and Technology

Thuyloi University

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Estimating sea level rise for Vietnam East Sea

Ministry of Science and Technology Vietnam (2017)

Thuc Tran Nguyễn Xuân Hiền Thi Lan Huong Huynh Van Tra Tran Ngoc Tien Duong

Sea level rise for Vietnam East Sea in the 21st century was determined under both RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Changes in sea level of the Vietnam East Sea due to dynamic and thermosteric processes was estimated using results of different Atmosphere - Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCMs) under the prescribed method in the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Changes in sea level due to ice melting and land water storage was determined using a transfer function for global water balance based on the contribution of each sea level rise contributing component for different regions. Changes in sea level as a result of the vertical motion of the Earth’s crust due to changes in the Earth’s cryosphere was determined using the ICE5G models. The results showed that for the RCP 8.5 scenario, by the end of the 21st century, the average sea level rise is 76 cm, with estimated values varying between 52 cm and 106 cm at the 5% and 95% confidence intervals, respectively. For the RCP 4.5 scenario, the average sea level rise is 52 cm, with values of 33 cm and 75 cm at the 5% and 95% confidence interval, respectively. The sea level rise scenario determined for the Vietnam East Sea is slightly higher in comparison with the globally estimated results in AR5.

Representative Concentration Pathways

10.31276/vjste.59(1).73

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Citations (2)

Impacts of climate change on wave regimes in the East Sea

Ministry of Science and Technology Vietnam (2017)

Nguyễn Xuân Hiền Van Uu Dinh Van Khiem Van Tra Tran Van Tien Pham

The study applied the PRECIS and SWAN modelling packages to simulate wind and wave regimes under climate change in the Vietnam East Sea. The results indicated that under RCP4.5 climate change scenario, by the end of the century, there are significant changes in both wave height and wave period in summer and winter months. In the East Sea during July, wave height is expected to increase 11.5% while wave period expected to increases 3.3%. On the other hand, wave height in January is projected to decrease approximately 7% while wave period in the same month is projected to decreases 4.4%. There are no significant changes in wave direction.

Wave height

Significant wave height

Wave model

East coast

10.31276/vjste.59(1).88

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Citations (2)