The blast- and earth-fill dam of the Kambarata 2 hydropower station is situated in the seismically active Central Tien Shan region of the Kyrgyz Republic. More than 70% of the dam volume was produced during a blast event on December 22, 2009. In 2010–2011, dam construction was completed after earth filling on top of the blasted material and installing concrete and clay screens together with bentonite grouts. A geophysical survey had been completed in 2012–2013, mainly to monitor the resistivities inside the dam. The geophysical survey completed on the Kambarata 2 dam site showed lower resistivity zones in the earth fill and relatively higher resistivities in the blast-fill material. Topographic, geophysical and piezometric inputs had been compiled within a 3D geomodel constructed with GOCAD software. This model was compared with the design structure of the dam in order to define the upper limits of the underlying alluvium, the deposited blast fill, earth fill and top gravel materials (represented by the dam surface). The central cross-section of this model was extrapolated over the full length of the main dam profile. On the basis of a calibrated hydrogeological model and known geomechanical properties of the materials, dam stability calculations were completed for different scenarios considering different reservoir levels and varying seismic conditions. Some of these scenarios indicated a critical vulnerability of the dam, e.g., if impacted by a horizontal seismic acceleration of Ah = 0.3 g and a vertical seismic acceleration Av = 0.15 g, with an estimated return period of 475 years. As a general conclusion, it was noted that this case study can be used as an example for surveys on much larger natural – landslide or moraine – dams. A series of geophysical methods (e.g., electrical and electro-magnetic techniques, seismic and microseismic measurements) can be applied to investigate even very deep dam structures. These methods have the advantage over classical direct prospecting techniques, such as drilling, of using equipment that is much lighter and thus more easily transportable and applicable in difficult terrain. Furthermore, they can provide continuous information over wider areas. This specific application to a blast-fill dam allows us to better outline the strengths and weaknesses of the exploration types and geomodels as a series of investigated parameters can be verified more easily than for natural dams.
In summer of 2015 we had completed a geophysical survey complemented by borehole drilling near the right-bank slope of the Rogun Dam construction site, Tajikistan. These data were first processed and then compiled within a 3D geomodel. The present paper describes the geophysical results and the 3D geomodel generated for an ancient mass movement located immediately downstream from the construction site. The geophysical survey included electrical and seismic profiles and ambient vibration measurements as well as earthquake recordings. The electrical and seismic data were processed as tomographic sections, the ambient vibrations as horizontal-to-vertical spectral H/V ratios, and the earthquake data mainly in terms of standard spectral ratios. By estimating the average shear wave velocities of the subsurface, we computed the local soft layer thickness from the resonance frequencies revealed by the H/V ratios. Three seismic stations had been installed for ten days along a profile crossing the intermediate plateau. Standard spectral ratios inferred from ten processed earthquake measurements confirmed the presence of a thick soft material layer on the plateau made of weathered rocks, colluvium, and terrace deposits, which produce a medium-level amplification at about 2 Hz. The 3D geomodel was first built on the basis of new topographic data, satellite imagery, and a geological map with two sections. Then, the various electrical resistivity and seismic refraction tomographies were inserted in the geomodel. The soft layer thickness information and borehole data were represented in terms of logs in the model. The site is crossed by the Ionakhsh Fault that could be modeled on the basis of the geological inputs and of a lateral resistivity gradient found on one electrical profile along the steep lower slope. The integrated interpretation of all results reveals that probably only a relatively small part of the ancient giant mass movement is really exposed to slope instability phenomena.
In March 2013 a large landslide of almost one million cubic meters happened in the Min-Kush uranium processing site in the Kyrgyz Republic. This hazardous landslide area is connected to radioactive and toxic tailings of mining industry located in the center of Tien-Shan mountain system. The present research represents the results of work done by using Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) for photographing the landslide area, which was made for monitoring of this potentially hazardous phenomenon. Based on these images and geodetic measurements of the landslide, orthophotos as well as generated Digital Surface Model (DSM) with an accuracy of less than ±5 cm resulted. The application of the UAV in the man-made landslide study has been established as a cost and time effective monitoring tool that provides researchers and engineers with high-resolution geospatial data.
The presence of massive Quaternary loess units at the eastern border of the Fergana Basin (Kyrgyzstan, Central Asia) makes this area particularly prone to the development of catastrophic loess earthflows, causing damages and injuries almost every year. Efficient disaster management requires a good understanding of the main causes of these mass movements, that is, increased groundwater pressure and seismic shaking. This paper focuses on the Kainama earthflow, mainly composed of loess, which occurred in 2004 April. Its high velocity and the long run-out zone caused the destruction of 12 houses and the death of 33 people. In summer 2005, a field survey consisting of geophysical and seismological measurements was carried out along the adjacent slope. By combination and geostatistical analysis of these data, a reliable 3-D model of the geometry and properties of the subsurface layers, as shown in the first part of the paper, was created. The analysis of the seismological data allowed us to point out a correlation between the thickness of the loess cover and the measured resonance frequencies and associated amplification potential. The second part of this paper is focused on the study of the seismic response of the slope by numerical simulations, using a 2-D finite difference code named FLAC. Modelling of the seismic amplification potential along the slope confirmed the results obtained from the seismological survey—strong amplifications at the crest and bottom of the slope where there is a thick loess cover and almost no amplification in the middle part of the slope. Furthermore, dynamic slope stability analyses were conducted to assess the influence of local amplifications and increased groundwater pressures on the slope failure. The results of the dynamic modelling, although preliminary, show that a combination of seismic and hydrologic origin (pore pressure build-up during the seismic shaking) is the most probable scenario responsible for the 2004 failure.
Global climate warming causes an intensive melting and retreat of glaciers in the Tien Shan mountains. Melting water of glaciers causes overfilling of high mountain lakes. The increase of the surface and volume of the Petrov Lake accompanied with the decrease of stability of the dam represents an extremely dangerous situation that can produce a natural disaster. Failure can happen due to erosion, a buildup of water pressure, an earthquake or if a large enough portion of a glacier breaks off and massively displaces the waters in a glacial lake at its base. In case of the lake dam rupture, flooding of a disposal site of highly toxic tailing from the gold mine Kumtor is a threat. If this happens, the toxic waste containing cyanides would contaminate a large area in the Naryn (Syrdarya) river basin. Even if the flooding of the disposal site does not occur, the damage after lake dam fracture will be immense due to the glacial lake outburst flood may be a devastating mudslide. In order to prevent or reduce the risk of this event we recommend performing engineering surveys for the development and implementation of the project for the controlled reduction of water level in the Blue Bay of the Petrov Lake to a safe volume.
'%3e%3cg id='e'%3e%3cg id='d'%3e%3cg id='c'%3e%3cg id='b'%3e%3cpath id='a' d='M0-6v6h3' transform='rotate(18 0 -6)'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23a' transform='scale(-1 1)'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23b' transform='rotate(72)'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23b' transform='rotate(-72)'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23c' transform='rotate(144)'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23d' y='-24'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23d' y='-48'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23e' x='24'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23e' x='48'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23d' x='-48'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23d' x='-24'/%3e%3cuse xlink:href='%23d' x='-24' y='-24'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
