Pantana phyllostachysae Chao ( P. phyllostachysae ) is a destructive leaf-eating pest that poses a significant threat to the health of bamboo forests and the bamboo industry. However, the spatial and temporal spread mechanisms of this pest are still unclear. To better understand and predict the spread of this pest, we used Sentinel-2A/B images from the pest detection period of 2018 to 2021, to identify association factors from five dimensions, including forest stand, meteorology, topography, pest sources, and human environment factors. The association factor sets for the spread of P. phyllostachysae were established under both existence and non-existence pest control scenarios. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model was employed to derive conversion rules for the respective spread models, enabling the determination of suitability probabilities for both healthy and damaged bamboo forests. These probabilities were then utilized in conjunction with cellular automata (CA) to simulate the spread of P. phyllostachysae under two scenarios. The results showed that the OA and Kappa reached more than 85% and 0.7 in both scenarios, respectively. Meanwhile, the division of pest control scenarios and the selection of XGBoost both help to improve the spreading simulation accuracy. Our models effectively coupled the research results of leaf hosts of different damage levels, simulated the spread of P. phyllostachysae , and identified the dynamic mechanisms of the pest's spread. These findings provide decision support for interrupting the spread path of the pest and achieving precise control, thus safeguarding forest ecological security.
Moso bamboo (Phyllostachys pubescens) stands as a pivotal economic bamboo species globally, holding substantial potential for carbon sequestration. Accurate estimation of aboveground biomass (AGB) in Moso bamboo forests is crucial due to its close ties with the ecosystem's carbon cycle. Despite the maturation of monitoring techniques for Pantana phyllostachysae Chao, a significant pest of Moso bamboo, its interplay with AGB in these forests remains enigmatic. This study addressed this gap by categorizing P. phyllostachysae's impact on Moso bamboo forests into four levels: healthy, mild damage, moderate damage, and severe damage. By scrutinizing field data, we delved into the shifts in Moso bamboo leaf biomass under P. phyllostachysae stress. Leveraging Sentinel-2A/B imagery, we extracted diverse correlation factors, including original wave bands, vegetation indices, texture attributes, and vegetation's physical and chemical parameters. Subsequently, machine learning algorithms-namely, random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) were employed to achieve remote sensing inversion of AGB in Moso bamboo forests, accounting for the presence of insect pests. We analyzed the response of Moso bamboo biomass sensitive factors and to further clarify the changes of AGB of Moso bamboo forests under insect pest stress at the remote sensing level ultimately. The results showed that (1) the degree of Moso bamboo leaf biomass damage was positively related to the damage level, which gradually increased from 15.15 % to 59.42 %; (2) the RF algorithm excelled in estimating Moso bamboo forest AGB, particularly in May, and inclusion of insect pest considerations enhanced AGB estimation accuracy; (3) among the four factor types, Band information and vegetation indices emerged as most impactful, and Band5, Band11, Band12, NDVI68a and MSAVI were selected the most often; (4) at the remote sensing level, AGB in Moso bamboo forests significantly varies under P. phyllostachysae stress. Healthy areas demonstrate an AGB of 66.9037 Mg ha−1, while heavily affected regions drop to 52.6591 Mg ha−1. It can be seen that combining pest factors for Moso bamboo biomass estimation solves the problem of rough biomass estimation, and this study provides a more promising method for forest growth monitoring.
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Pantana phyllostachysae Chao is a leaf-eating pest that poses a significant threat to bamboo forest health. Current research mainly focuses on statically identifying damage using remote sensing images. However, the mechanism behind the damage's traceability remains unclear, making it difficult to pinpoint early infestation sources accurately. Additionally, our understanding of the pest's spreading laws is limited. This study leverages Sentinel-2A/B images from February to November 2021 to investigate P. phyllostachysae infestation traceability through the dynamic age algorithm and indicator analysis method. The results shed light on the distribution of early pest sources over the study period. By analyzing both the overall pest infestation "cluster" and its center of gravity, we dissect P. phyllostachysae infestation characteristics and paths monthly throughout the study period. Our findings reveal three zones with strong spreading momentum, three with slow spreading momentum, and two transitional zones during the February-November period, aligning with P. phyllostachysae occurrence patterns. However, the direction of P. phyllostachysae spreading varies, likely due to a combination of meteorological, topographical, vegetative biochemical, and human activity factors. This study introduces innovative approaches for identifying early pest source points and understand their spreading laws, contributing to more effective pest prevention and control in forest ecosystems.